EUR/USD Appears To Be Offered, But Wanes Again Towards 1.1670

ByBarbara Byrne

Oct 21, 2021

The Euro is now under a selling strain, forcing EUR/USD down to 1.1640 on Thursday. With the EUR/USD having made three successive daily advances, the pair has now given up a portion of those profits after failing once more in the vicinity of recent highs above 1.1670. The Dollars’ moderate comeback causes the duo and the remainder of the risk class to retrace some of their recent gains.

As a result of the improved perception encompassing riskier assets, as well as presumptions that several G10 monetary authorities may be considering the idea of returning to regularization of fiscal policies earlier than anticipated, the greenback has suffered in recent sessions, sponsoring a significant decline in the US Dollar Index. According to the report, Industrial Transactions in Italy increased by 0.8 percent every month in August and by 13.8 percent compared to the same month in the previous year. For the current month, the Business Confidence Index in France remained constant at 107 points. Ahead of the normal weekly Claims report, the Philly Fed Index, housing statistics, the CB Leading Index, and a speech by the FOMC’s C.Waller are all scheduled to be released on Friday.

What To Look For In The EUR Area

The EUR/USD strengthened even higher this week, reaching new highs around 1.1670 for October. While the uptick in confidence around the risk complex has given the euro an extra boost, price action is expected to remain focused on greenback fundamentals for the time being, with the tapering talk being at the forefront of the market. Meanwhile, the assumption that high inflation could persist for a longer period, combined with a pullback in the region’s recovery as a result of some weaknesses noted in key tenets, is seen as putting a damper on investors’ positivity as well as bullish efforts in the European currency.

There are several important events taking place in the Eurozone this week: Preliminary purchasing managers’ indexes in the eurozone (Friday).  The following are the most pressing concerns on the back burner: In the aftermath of the outbreak, there has been asymmetrical economic growth in the region, the long-term viability of the increase in inflation figures, given the escalating tension between the EU, Poland, and Hungary; political effervescence may surround the EU Recovery Fund, increasing demand for European assets in the wake of the pandemic might provide additional support for the euro, and speculations about the European Central Bank’s taper.

Factors To Keep An Eye On In The EUR/USD 


The spot is currently down 0.08 percent at 1.1638, with the next upward resistance at 1.1669 (the monthly high on October 19), supported by 1.1711 (the 55-day simple moving average), and finally, 1.1755. (weekly high, Sep.22). On the other side, a breach below 1.1607 (20-day simple moving average) would target 1.1571 (low of October 18), with a further move to 1.1524. (2021, low Oct.12).

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